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“GOOD morning Weekend Edition-November 14-15, 2020 | gainesvilletimes.com LOTTERY I Drawings for Friday, November 13, 2020 CASH 3 Midday: 7-0-1 Evening: 6-7-7 CASH 4 Midday: 9-9-3-4 Evening: 8-0-2-1 Previous days’ drawings FANTASY FIVE (11/12) 10-12-19-31-37 GEORGIA FIVE Midday: 0-9-4-5-4 Evening: 0-9-7-2-4 P0WERBALL (11/11) MEGA MILLIONS (11/10) 13-15-17-45-63 Power Ball: 13 23-45-53-58-62 Mega Ball: 13 Current jackpot: $168M Current jackpot: $165M Lottery numbers are unofficial. The Georgia Lottery Corp.: 404-215-5000. LY\TEST COVID-19 DATA Nov. 13 NGHS data Nov. 13 DPH data for Hall County Total COVID-19 patients: 118 Total cases: 11,392 Gainesville COVID-19 patients: 70 Cases per 100k: 5,520.74 Braselton COVID-19 patients: 27 Confirmed deaths: 188 Total discharged: 2,794 Hospitalizations: 1,168 Total deaths: 396 Percent positive tests in last 2 weeks: 8.8% WEATHER Gainesville 5-Day Forecast ® AccuWeather Plan your week | Get the NEW app TODAY TONIGHT SUNDAY MONDAY TUESDAY WEDNESDAY Plenty of sunshine 63737° 60735 s RFT: 67739 ° 1 RFT: 66739 ° 1 RFT: 62735 ° 1 RFT: 64733 Precip chance: Precip chance: Precip chance: Precip chance: Precip chance: Precip chance: 5% 10% 25% 0% 0% 0% RFT: The patented AccuWeather.com RealFeel Temperature® is an exclusive index of effective temperature based on eight weather factors. Almanac Statistics for Lee Gilmer Memorial Airport through 5 p.m. yesterday Temperature High/low 73°57° Normal high/low 63742° Record high 81° in 1938 Record low Precipitation (in inches) 20° in 1911 24 hrs. ending 5 p.m. yest. Month to date 0.00 0.78 Normal month to date 1.69 Year to date 69.08 Normal year to date 46.04 Record for date 2.22 in 1935 Air Quality Today ▼ C.d |M^.f s “'|U n h» |, h,| u»h V a,l“ s 50 100 150 200 300 Main Offender: Particulates Source: Environmental Protection Agency Pollen Yesterday Regional Weather Shown is today’s weather. Temperatures are today’s highs and tonight’s lows. O Blairsv 67/49 ffi: Morganton 68/50 EIJiiay Turners Corner 66/51 d Cleveland y* "if f' #9 Talking Rock 68/54 Dahloneqa O Clermont 66/51 “ 66/51 70/52- Toccoa _ -) 66 g 1 ' O— 6 C 5°/5T Ma M -will . . O 67/50 , oiSm Nelson O Dawsonville O (129) 66/52 67/52 67/49 Gainesville (jHomer •—V Commerce f ■*"> *?*•*#;; °* Roswell 68/52 Winder rrenceville 69/51 Trees Weeds 0 « O' 0 0 I absent 0 °° 0 Forecasts and graphics provided by AccuWeather, Inc. ©2020 Low Mod. High Verjj Main Offender: Ragweed, Juniper Source: National Allergy Bureau City Today Hi Lo W Tomorrow Hi Lo W City Today Hi Lo W Albany 80 59 s 81 51 S Columbus 77 58 s Atlanta 71 56 s 70 45 pc Dalton 71 57 c Augusta 74 56 pc 80 44 pc Greenville 66 49 pc Brunswick 76 66 pc 80 59 s Macon 76 55 s Chattanooga 70 56 c 68 39 pc Savannah 77 63 s Danielsville ' ^129) 69/54 A 71/H54 S @ Tomorrow Hi Lo W 76 46 pc 69 39 sh 70 41 pc 78 43 pc 82 55 s UV Index 1 Lake Levels 1 Sun and Moon Lake data in feet as of 7 a.m. yesterday ™ 0 9 a.m. Noon 3 p.m. 6 p.m. The higher the AccuWeather.com UV Index™ num ber, the greater the need for eye and skin protection. Full Present 24 hr Lake Pool Level Change Lake Lanier 1071.0 1070.56 +0.07 Allatoona Lake 840.0 836.14 +0.65 Burton Lake 1865.0 1866.11 +1.61 Clark’s Hill Lake 330.0 330.21 +0.54 Hartwell Lake 660.0 659.63 -0.05 Russell Lake 480.0 474.47 +0.57 West Point Lake 635.0 633.44 +1.08 Sunrise today 7:08 a.m. Sunset tonight 5:32 p.m. Moonrise today 6:15 a.m. Moonset today 5:23 p.m. New First Full Last Jfj] Aft | • Ti Nov 14 Nov 21 Nov 30 Dec 7 Weather (W): s-sunny, pc-partly cloudy, c-cloudy, r-rain, sh-showers, t-thunderstorms, sf-snow flurries, sn-snow, i-ice ABOUT US AND OUR VALUES The public has a right to know, and The Times is dedicated to that principle and the “continued enlightenment and freedom of the people of North Georgia,” as engraved outside our building. The pursuit of truth is a fundamental principle of journalism. But the truth is not always apparent or known immediately. A professional journalist’s role is to report as completely and impartially as possible verifiable facts so readers can, based on their own knowledge and experience, determine what they believe to be the truth. That is often an ongoing pursuit as journalists work to uncover stories and follow those stories wherever they lead, regardless of preconceived ideas. The news they report is separate from the opinions shared in the pages of The Times, which include those by its editorial board, columnists, political cartoonists and readers who submit letters to the editor. The presentation of both news and opinions is designed to educate, entertain and foster community conversation. Readers are encouraged to challenge and sharpen their perceptions based on that presentation. And we encourage readers to do the same for us, offering news tips, criticisms and questions. As your honestly local news source, we serve our readers first. 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For our digital subscription offerings, go to gainesvilletimes.com/subscribe Forecasters use ‘the cone’ to predict paths of storms When Tropical Storm Eta brought 3 to 5 inches of rain to Miami and the rest of southern Florida, forecasters talked a lot about “the cone.” Hurricanes and their weaker brethren, tropical storms, aren’t cone-shaped. The cone refers to the area where a storm is predicted to go. Weather forecasters aren’t clairvoyant. The question came up how they could pos sibly predict the zig-zagging path that Eta was taking after causing severe damage in Nicaragua and Guatemala. The tool for this is a cone of probabilities for anticipat ing the storm’s possible movement. One could also say it’s funnel-shaped on the map. The narrower the cone, the greater the likelihood that the storm’s center will strike a given area. Farther ahead in the cone means farther into the future, and predictions become more fuzzy. This is why the cone widens along the forecast path. The more we move into the future, the less certain we can be about where the storm might go. Winter storms are steered across the continent by the jet stream, a giant river of air in the upper atmosphere that drags frontal systems along its path. That’s a strong force, and winter forecasts turn out to be quite dependable. Hurricanes and tropical storms are less accommodat ing. They are steered by surface winds because the main jet stream isn’t present this far south. Building a forecast consists of analyzing past situations and comparing similarities in surface winds. When Eta was leaving Cuba and heading for Miami, the trade winds were strong. They are a persistent pattern of windflow from the northeast. This was pushing the storm toward the west. At the same time, its enormous store of energy was nudging it north ward to deposit all that heat in the cooler regions. After all, the job of tropical weather systems is to move extra energy away from the tropics. Like a chess player, the computer building a forecast model must anticipate thousands of different combinations of windflow, of moves and counter-moves. High pressure over the continent can work like a bumper and divert a storm eastward and into the Atlantic Ocean. Trade winds can weaken or strengthen their push. The next few moves are rea sonably certain but the ones that follow aren’t. In their minds, chess players form a cone of possible moves similar to com puters building storm forecasts. Rudi Kiefer, Ph.D., is a professor at Brenau University, teaching physical and health sciences on Brenau’s Georgia campuses and in China. His column appears Sundays and at gainesvilletimes.com. TODAY IN HISTORY On this date: In 1851, Herman Melville’s novel “Moby-Dick; Or, The Whale” was published in the United States, almost a month after be ing released in Britain. In 1862, during the Civil War, President Abraham Lincoln gave the go-ahead for Maj. Gen. Ambrose Burnside’s plan to cap ture the Confederate capital of Richmond; the resulting Battle of Fredericksburg proved a disaster for the Union. In 1889, Jawarharlal Nehru, the first prime minister of India, was born. In 1910, Eugene B. Ely became the first aviator to take off from a ship as his Curtiss pusher rolled off a sloping platform on the deck of the scout cruiser USS Birmingham off Hampton Roads, Virginia. In 1915, African-American educator Booker T. Washington, 59, died in Tuskegee, Alabama. In 1940, during World War II, German planes destroyed most of the English town of Coventry. In 1965, the U.S. Army’s first major military operation of the Vietnam War began with the start of the five-day Battle of la Drang. (The fighting between American troops and North Vietnamese forces ended on Nov. 18 with both sides claiming victory.) In 1969, Apollo 12 blasted off for the moon. In 1970, a chartered Southern Airways DC-9 crashed while trying to land in West Virginia, killing all 75 people on board, including the Marshall University football team and its coach ing staff. In 1972, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed above the 1,000 level for the first time, ending the day at 1,003.16. BIRTHDAYS Actor Kathleen Hughes is 92. Former NASA astronaut Fred Haise is 87. Composer Wendy Carlos is 81. Writer P.J. O’Rourke is 73. Britain’s Prince Charles is 72. Rock singer-musician Janies Young (Styx) is 71. Singer Stephen Bishop is 69. Blues musician Anson Funderburgh is 66. Pianist Yanni is 66. Former U.S. Secretary of State Condo- leezza Rice is 66. Former presidential adviser Valerie Jarrett is 64. Ac tor Laura San Giacomo is 59. Actor D.B. Sweeney is 59. Rapper Reverend Run (Run-DMC) is 56. Actor Patrick Warburton is 56. Rock musician Nic Dalton is 56. Country singer Rockie Lynne is 56. Re tired MLB All-Star pitcher Curt Schilling is 54. Rock musician Brian Yale is 52. Actor Josh Duhamel is 48. Rock musician Travis Barker is 45. Contempo rary Christian musician Robby Shaffer is 45. Rock musician Tobin Esper- ance (Papa Roach) is 41. Actor-comedian Vanessa Bayer is 39. NHL forward Taylor Hall is 29. TODAY IN HISTORY PHOTO J. SPENCER JONES I Associated Press Supporters of the Vietnam moratorium lie in the Sheep Meadow of New York’s Central Park Nov. 14,1969 as hundreds of black and white balloons float skyward. A spokesman for the moratorium committee said the black balloons represented Americans who died in Vietnam under the Nixon administration, and the white balloons symbolized the number of Americans who would die if the war continued. Rnd local events at gainesvilletimes.com/calendar HOROSCOPES BY HOLIDAY ARIES (March 21-April 19). If you had to put today’s prob lem into a box, then it would be a tiny box. Maybe you can live with this one and learn to see it as a quirk or feature instead of a problem. TAURUS (April 20-May 20). Don’t let others frame the situation for you. If you have the feeling of being a piece in a game — played, not player — it’s a sign that you need to look carefully at the power dynamics and find your points of leverage. GEMINI (May 21-June 21). People will be persistent, try ing to convince you of what is possible and what is impos sible. These are only opinions. What’s your take? That’s the one that matters. CANCER (June 22-July 22). An exercise: Let your mind do funhouse mirror trickery on a situation and some scary, interesting, hilarious and cre ative ideas come of it. Then leave the funhouse, and the mirrors, and see it in the light of day. LEO (July 23-Aug. 22). You’ve been known to think about what would be the most at tractive move, and there are other times when you just don’t worry about it and do only what you want. Either way works now, but you have to commit fully to it. VIRGO (Aug. 23-Sept. 22). You can’t be vigilant about everything. If you could, you’d be perfect, and perfectly bor ing, repellant even, because humans tend to like those that are more or less like them, which is to say flawed. LIBRA (Sept. 23-0ct. 23). When you’re in it, telling yourself to do the next cor rect move, courage naturally flows. It is not until later, when you look back, that you will realize just how brave it is to live admirably in daily life. SCORPIO (Oct. 24-Nov. 21). Being supportive to yourself might not be your first in stinct. Sometimes, it’s hard to think of the right ways to coach. Make the effort to figure it out though because progress depends on consis tent self-encouragement. SAGITTARIUS (Nov. 22-Dec. 21). You are typically so steady that people around you don’t expect you to change your mind, let alone change it three or four times, but such things are accept able and naturally when you’re finding your way. CAPRICORN (Dec. 22-Jan. 19). You get inspiration from multiple sources — the pass ing clouds, a picture that trig gers a memory, the song on the radio, all channeled into sorting your feelings about someone. AQUARIUS (Jan. 20-Feb. 18). Are you the most qualified person to assess your situa tion? The jury is still out. An outsider will either help you understand something you didn’t before or validate your own view of it. PISCES (Feb. 19-March 20). In games of cat and mouse, the mouse needs to disappear sometimes, thereby stopping the chase and creating in the cat an excited sense of an ticipation for the next surprise appearance.
