The Southern Israelite. (Augusta, Ga.) 1925-1986, April 15, 1977, Image 13
Election trends after Rabin scandal
HAIFA — With the unex
pected and precipitous
withdrawal of Prime Minister
Rabin, the Israel election cam
paign is heating up. It is marked
by massive and imaginative
advertising in the press, largely
an assault by the parties upon
each other. Labor ridicules
Menahem Begin and his Likud
as one who has failed eight times
in his efforts to take over the
government, but is trying a
ninth time. The religious bloc
pictures Labor as a deflated tire.
Yadin’s Democratic Party is held
up to scorn, and in turn calls for
a change. The leftist parties
make it sound as if only they are
for peace, and the new Women’s
Party campaigns for pension
rights and paid holidays for
housewives. Thus far, there are
24 parties in the race.
The traditionally dominant
labor trend is struggling against
odds to maintain its supremacy.
Pressure groups are aware of
this and have chosen this time to
extract from the hard-pressed
government the maximum by
way of economic concessions.
Possibly the worst wave of
strikes ever to hit Israel has in
recent months and weeks swept
the country. In almost every
case the Government has yielded
to demands of the strikers, thus
assuring their political support,
but at the same time triggering
off new strikes from others who
want their share of the gravy.
All this may have given Labor
a short-term political gain by
winning blocs of some thousands
of votes, but the party image has
suffered badly. The non-striking
public regards this as confirma
tion of Rabin’s weakness under
pressure. The scandals that have
rocked the party have also tar
nished its reputation badly, and
it may be expected that every ef
fort will be made to rake up
fresh revelations in the weeks
ahead. Mrs. Rabin’s Washington
bank account was but one item
on the list.
Nevertheless, the shrewdest
politicians in the country are in
the Labor party. They have held
the machine together for 29
years. Will they succeed again
this year? Two major elements
are in their favor — one positive,
the other negative.
Israel is today experiencing a
wave of prosperity. The serious
economists call it runaway infla
tion and are much concerned,
but for the time being the man
in the street has money in his
pocket. There is no unemploy
ment. The stores are crowded.
People are buying and spending.
When the electorate get to the
ballot box they hesitate long
before voting against the party
in power that brought this
about. One doesn’t change a
satisfactory status quo.
The negative element which
may affect the results is the
possibility of war. Threat of
hostilities this summer makes
even dissatisfied voters pause
and think. If we are indeed on
the verge of war, would the
country be better off in the
hands of the Likud, which has a
reputation for recklessness and
extremism? In the hands of the
upright gentlemen of the
Democratic Party who, as a
group, have had no experience in
leadership? Or in the hands of
the familiar Labor personalities.
There is a reluctance to change
horses in the middle of a stormy
stream.
The first serious straw votes
indeed show Labor maintaining
its lead, but much reduced from
previous elections. Likud is
likewise losing strength, but still
in second place. As had been ex
pected, Yadin and his Democrats
appear strongly in third place.
There is still a large floating, un
decided vote, and the outcome of
the May 17 elections will be in
fluenced by the decisions of
these voters. t
It is clear that no one party
will “win” the election. The
possibilities as they appear at
this moment: A coalition in
which labor and the Democrats
will dominate; alternatively a
coalition headed by Likud and
the Democrats. In either event
the Yadin-Democratic party will
be the determining factor in the
composition of the new Govern
ment. The more strength this
party can muster, the greater
will be its benevolent influence
in the Government.
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?*«• IS THE SOUTHERN ISRAELITE April 15, 1*77