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Page 22* THE SOUTHERN ISRAELITE ‘Octobter 3ly 1986
Will Shamir stay the economic course?
by Elmer L. Winter
Chairman, Committee for Economic Growth oflsrael
Shimon Peres and Yitzhak
Shamir have changed jobs in
Israel's Coalition Government.
As Shamir takes over the posi
tion of Prime Minister of Israel,
the question is being raised, “Will
Shamir stay the economic course
set by the coalition during these
past two years?”
Having been in Israel these
past two weeks, 1 was able to
form some impressions that lead
me to predict that the next two
years will be “more of the same”
on the economic front—provided
the coalition stays together.
I foresee that Shamir will place
high priority on economic growth.
The coalition has had as one of
its major goals during the past
two years restoring Israel’s econ
omy. As a result, unusual steps
were taken to bring the economy
to a point where Israel can now
move from economic stability to
growth. A recent poll shows that
73 percent of the Israelis favor
the economic program of the
past two years and want to con
tinue “as is.” It is difficult to see
how the Shamir government could
thwart the wishes of such a large
percentage of the population.
I anticipate that Peres, as for
eign minister, will continue to
play an active role in economic
development.
Inflation should remain at 1 to
2 percent a month. Israel brought
inflation down from 20 percent a
month—a herculean task. There’s
every reason to believe that infla
tion will not exceed 1 to 2 percent
a month during the coming year.
1 also expect that the govern
ment of Israel will sell some of its
companies. For a number of years,
the policy has been to sell some
of the government-owned non
defense companies. Industry and
Trade Minister Ariel Sharon has
called for the sale of government-
owned companies, with the funds
raised to be used to establish new
high-tech industry.
Two government-owned com
panies have already been offered
for sale. Israel Chemicals Ltd.
has proposed the sale of its stake
in Cables of Zion-approximately
69 percent in equity and voting—
and Oil Refineries Ltd. is consid
ering the possibility of divesting
itself of its 23.6 percent share of
Haifa Chemicals. We can look
for some activity in the area of
denationalization—but not too
much in the coming year.
Meanwhile, exports should
increase during the next two years.
Israel needs to substantially
expand her exports to help replace
the $1.5 billion that the govern-
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ment formerly received from the
United States as emergency as
sistance. The pressure will be on
to attract more American com
panies to open facilities in Israel
to take advantage of the Free
Trade Agreement.
Recently, Van Heusen Com
pany announced a joint venture
where it will manufacture 1.5
million shirts annually in Israel.
Van Heusen will be joining more
than 150 U.S. companies operat
ing in Israel.
Exports should increase 10
percent per annum, w hile imports
decline.
I predict, as well, that Israel
may receive a reduction in its
interest rate on debts due to the
United States; that Israel will
make further cuts in her budget,
with the effort continuing to
reduce the number of people em
ployed in various branches of the
government sector; and that pro
duction of the Lavi jet-fighter
will continue, despite some ob
jections by the U.S. government.
Israel believes the Lavi is of great
strategic importance regarding
the security of the country.
Israel also will participate in
the U.S. government’s Star Wars
program. The two countries have
entered into an agreement for
Israel to conduct research in the
Strategic Defense Initiative pro
gram. Israel has signed three
contracts with the United States
in recent months to perform such
research.
The odds are in favor of the
Coalition Government remaining
intact in the immediate future.
Neither the Likud or the Labor
Party will want to initiate a
divorce unless there are compel
ling outside forces at work.
Despite the popularity of
Shimon Peres (77 percent), a
recent poll showed that the Labor
Party would receive only 42 per
cent of the vote if elections were
held how, while the Likud would re
ceive 28 percent. As long as these
conditions prevail, it appears that
the coalition will continue and
the government, headed by Sha
mir, will stay the economic course.
Tips on retirement plans
Many people don’t fully under
stand what their retirement plan
offers other than money for the
“golden years.” Now is a good
time to review your company’s
retirement provisions to under
stand what kind of coverage you
have, when you can expect pay
ments and what you can do now
to help ensure your financial
security during your retirement
years.
To help you understand your
plan, the Georgia Society ot CPAs
outlines the essential characteris
tics of the four major retirement
plans: defined benefit, defined
contribution, deferred compen
sation and profit sharing.
Defined benefit pension plans
provide a promise to pay partici
pants benefits over a period of
years after retirement. The bene
fits are determined by such fac
tors as the individual’s age, years
of service and total wages earned.
As a participant in this plan, you
accrue benefits payable at a pre
determined time in the future.
Your benefits are funded by em
ployer contributions which can
fluctuate depending on statistics
of the life expectancy of the par
ticipants and investment computa
tions.
Defined contribution plans re
quire individual accounts for each
plan participant. The amount you
will receive from the plan depends
upon your employer and employ
ees contributions, the income,
expenses, gains and losses cre
dited to your account.
Under a defined contribution
plan, the contribution rate is
generally determined by the par
ticipant’s salary, profits of the
employer, or both.
When a participant retires or
withdraws from the plan, the
amount allocated to the partici
pant’s account represents his or
her accumulated benefit, and it
may be paid to the participant or
used to purchase an annuity. In
contrast to defined benefit plans,
the amount of benefits a partici
pant will ultimately receive is not
determined until the time of dis
tribution.
As a participant, you benefit
from successful investments by
the trustees, but also bear the risk
of investment loss, according to
CPAs.
One example of a defined con
tribution is a money purchase
plan. Here, your employer’s con
tributions are based on a definite
formula, irrespective of profits.
Usually the employer’s annual
contribution is a fixed percen
tage of your compensation. For
example, the plan might provide
that each year your employer will
contribute on your behalf 10 per
cent of your compensation for
that year.
In a profit sharing plan, a
company agrees to make a con
tribution, at its discretion, out of
profits. Amounts contributed to
the plan are invested and accum
ulate tax free for eventual distri
bution to participants or their
beneficiaries either at retirement,
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after a fixed number of years, or
upon the occurrence of some
specified event such as disability,
death, or termination of employ
ment.
Unlike a defined benefit plan
or a money purchase pension
plan, contributions are based on
a percentage of profits. If the
employer has no profit in a given
year, no contribution could be
made for that year unless the
plan provides for contributions
from prior retained earnings.
A good example here is a stock
bonus plan. As a participant, you
are given the option of receiving
your benefit payments in the form
of company stock. Just as in
profit sharing plans, it’s up to the
employer to decide each year
how much, if anything, he or she
wants to contribute.
The fourth retirement plan is
called deferred compensation. The
easiest way to explain this plan is
to describe one of its more well
known options, the 401 (k). This
is a deferred payment plan in the
form of a salary reduction agree
ment where your savings dollars
are deducted from your gross
income and your interest is tax
deferred. Depending upon the
percentage of your annual salary
that you elect to contribute to the
plan, your employer may also
make a contribution. Since this
varies from plan to plan, it is wise
to consult with your employer to
find out exactly what they offer.
Benefits may not be distrib
uted until you retire, become dis
abled, die or reach age 59 l /i. Ear
lier distribution is possible, but
only in certain hardship cases.
Many of the above mentioned
plans provide vested benefits,
those that are available to an
employee at retirement even if he
or she leaves the company’s em
ployment before the age of retire
ment. Vesting occurs after you
have worked for your employer a
prescribed period of time.
Which is the best plan? Your
employer chooses a plan accord
ing to certain objectives, the
amount of money the company
can contribute and the ages of
those who choose to participate
or who automatically are covered.
Chances are your plan incorpo
rates an investment feature which,
if managed well, will enhance
your retirement plan.
This material prepared and
supplied by the Georgia Society
of Certified Public Accountants
Inc.