Newspaper Page Text
Traveling space shuttle idea has been dropped
By FRANK MACOMBER
Copley News Service
Federal space agency and
airline officials who predicted
the manned space shuttle
someday might carry passen
gers across the world on a
commercial basis have been
challenged by an eminent
space engineer who says it
can’t happen.
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Recently there was specu
lation among National Aero
nautics and Space Adminis
tration and commercial air
carrier officials that the su
personic transport might be
bypassed as a stepping-stone
in air travel in favor of the
shuttle system, scheduled to
be operational in late 1979.
But Frank J. Dore, a mem
ber of the space engineering
and science team which de
veloped America’s first inter
continental ballistic missile,
the Convair-built Atlas, in
sists the cost of a regular pas
senger-carrying shuttle would
be exorbitant.
Dore, who also directed
Convair work on advanced
space systems, including re
usable launch vehicles, says
even the supersonic transport
— rejected by Congress in
1972 — has what he calls an
“unacceptably high cost” per
passenger flight.
“The shuttle would have the
same problem, but 10 times
worse,” observes Dore, now
retired.
"The cost for each launch
vehicle of the shuttle has been
quoted by NASA as around $3
million, though most knowl-
edgeable engineers believe it
will be two to three times
higher,” he points out.
“The orbital payload for an
easterly launch is supposed to
be 65,000 pounds. For a non
orbital intercontinental flight
of 5,000 miles, the payload
would be about 100,000
pounds.
“If the entire pay load of
100,000 pounds could be made
Page 9
up of 500 people (at 200 pounds
per passenger), and the
launch cost was $3 million, the
cost of the flight for each per
son would be $6,000 per flight,
compared to the approxi
mately S3OO to S6OO per flight
for a first-class ticket, New
York to London.”
Some shuttle advocates,
Dore says, would claim an ex
panded number of commer
cial intercontinental shuttle
flights would reduce the ex
pense per launch consider-
Griffin Daily News Thursday, September 19,1974
ably.
“Not so,” he insists. “The
optimistic costs quoted by
NASA already assume a con
siderable benefit from repeti
tive use of the shuttle craft
(100 launches). Furthermore,
the cost of propellants will
rise considerably due to the
energy situation.”
Dore also points to giant ad
ditional costs to build shuttle
ports near high-population
centers.
“Government estimates for
building a new launch and re
covery facility, excluding the
land acquisition costs, are
about a billion dollars,” he
points out.
“Anyone wanting to save
time crossing the Atlantic
would not necessarily want to
depart from Cape Kennedy,
Fla., so at least two launch fa
cilities would be required —
one near New York and the
other near London or Paris.
“There goes $2 billion!