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PAGE FOUR
ATHENS BANNER -HERALD
Published Every Evening Except Saturday and
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DAILY MEDITATIONS
VAR, tiave you a favorite Bible
\ 2T G Gaen verse? Ma’l to—
\F} o »."1} A. F. Pledger,
< 3 IZolly Heights Chapel.
Erceopron, I court rot myself to have appre
hoac ¢, but this ere thing T do, forgetting those
f e v liich are behind, and reaching forth unto
t oze Uiings which are belore, I press toward the
¢ arls {or the prize of the high calling of God in
L. rist Jesus.~—Philippians 3:13.
—7ir. B. T. Ausley, 222 Fontaine Drive,
Themasviile, Ga.
\0 4 ai! : P d'
/e Can't Use Eean to Predict
i '-! .
:lections Before Conventions
BY PETER EDSON
NEA Washington Correspondent
WASHINGTON.— (NEA) —Louis H. Bean, who
wrote “How to Predict Elections” in 1948 and “The
Mid-Term Battle” in 1950, says he isn’t going to
write @ bock this election year. Not yet, anyway.
His reason is that there just aren’'t any exact or
scientific methods of predicting what’s going to hap
pen at 8 presidential nominating convention. After
the conventions are over, the situation might be
different.
Dr. Bean insists that he never makes predictions,
Nevertheless, before the congressional elections of
1950, he came up with facts which led to the con
clusion that the Republicans would gain from 25 to
30 seats in the House of Representatives. This state
ment was made in April. I Movember the Repub
licans gained 27 seats. Which was pretty close, even
if it wasn’t & prediction.
Louig Bean is a Department of Agriculture econ
omist and statistician by orofession. But some years
a:o he became interested in the study of election
r2turns. Be decided to analyze them to see if they
indicated any trends. He found they did.
The result was his first book, “How to Predict
Elections,” published beforz the Truman-Dewey
race four years ago. In it he revealed his statistics
to support the evidence of a national Democratic
trend. 1f that trend continued, a Democratic presi
dent would be elected. -
Bean d¢id not make the p rediction that Truman
would be €lected. But, as one wag observed, “If he
had read his own book, he could have made that
prediction and .been right, where everybody else
was wrong.” . o
TOO MANY IMPONDERABLES
RUIN PREDICTIONS
In this pre-convention season of 1952, however,
Dr. Bean says there are too many inrponderables to
make any such predictions. There are too many
candidates in the field, Personalities are more im-
portant right now than issues, and there is no way
to measure the relative strengths of personalities
exept by & poll. Polls aren’t always reliable.
Some of the states have primaries and some don't.
There is no way to make a sta?,i.stical chart or a
sraph 1o show how a state political convention will
bahave.
Other unpredictable factors are involved. Will
there be a series of strikes? Will the cost of living
continue to rise? Or will there be a mild business
slump?
How mwuch of a factor will be the charges of
crin®e and corruption in government be in the No
vember elections? How much of a factor will the
charges of communism in government be?
What will be the political effect at home of an
armistice agreement—or continued war in Korea?
In general, it has been Dr. Bean's observation
that foreign policy issues tend to cancel out in their
iniluence on American election results. Outbreak
of the Korean war in July, 1950, for instance, had
no appreciable effect on the November election re
sults.
Some pecple side one way in support of a for
eign policy issue. Some side the other way. Their
influences offset each other.
DEPRESSION WOULD HAVE ;
POLITICAL EFFECTS
If a real cdepression were to hit the United States,
however, it would affect both employers and em
ploves, procducers and consumers. It would have a
tremendous political effect.” That was what hap
pened in 19832,
There are two factors which Louis Bean puts the
finger on as giving the Democrats an advantage
over their 1948 position. One is that there is no
Progressive Party movement this year. That drew
from the Democratic strength in 1948. The other is
that there is much less chance of a Dixiecrat split.
The Republicans wilt have to overcome those ad
vantages in 1952.
The 20-year political trend which statistician
Bean finds is that roughly 55 percent of the voters
have been voting Democratic, 45 percent Republi
can, If this tide continues, it is conceivable that a
Democratic presidential candidate could be elected.
Or, if the trend is reversed insefar as the presi
dency is concerned, Dr. Bean still considers it pos
sible that 2 Democratic Senate and possibly a Dem
ocratic House could be elected along with a Repub
lican president, He makes clear that he isn’t pre
dicting that. He just says it’s possible.
The Senate is now divided 50 Democrats, 46 Re
publicans, Thirteen Dernocratic senators are up for
re-election—seven in the South, six in the North.
The 18 Republican seats at stake are all from the
North, where the margins are narrow and the
chances of &n upset are more likely. The House is
now divided 231 Democrats, 200 Republicans, one
independert and three vacancies. The Republicans
must win 18 House seats to gain control,
We are winning the cold war and I fear very
much that if Congress goes the way it has been
going we may lose it.—President Truman. :
I" e always felt that the last place you've been is
tt “vaest to leave,—Mrs. Dwight D, Eisenhower.
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More Stable For Task Ahead,
Europe Is Bad News to Soviet
Fromr George Sloan, head of the U. S. Council of
the International Chamber of Commerce, we get a
refreshingly optimistic report of the economic con
dition of Western Europe.
Just back from a meeting with foreign business
men in Paris, Sloan says only Greece and Austria
are currently plagued by a critical inflation, In
other countries, a new element of stability seems to
have entered the picture. £
France especially is adjudged to have moved
several steps ahead toward a sounder economy. And
Sloan found that even Britain was not so bad off
as sonre recent gloomy accounts have suggested.
He found a genergl mood of confidence, a belief
that real progress had been made and more soon
would be. He discovered, too, that emphasis had
been shifted from production alone to include the
whole economie structure. Europeans appear to
have a new appreciation of the need for a broadly
stable economic life.
To what does Sloan ascribe this improvement?
Primarily to the cumulative effects of American
assistance, which has proved sufficiently steady and
ample to convince most Europeans that we intend
to see them through to recovery and to assure their
real defense against communism,
In this regard, Sloan learned that General Eisen
hower had been a great factor for strengthened
morale. He breathed optimism and confidence, and
it was infectious.
Sloan indicated, too, that we have been applying
our policy of aid in Europe with sharper aim in
recent months. There has been keener understand
ing of what needed to be done to produce lasting
gains in the European economy.
Naturally the continent has benefitted also from
new leadership among the recipient countries, mest
particularly from the program of Premier Pinay in
France. There are those who say Pinay has given
France its best government since the war ended.
It would be wrong to overlook, however, a nega
tive element that has worked favorably. The de
fense production goals of majcr Western nations
have been pushed back, as compared with earlier
deadlines. This “stretch-out” has served to ease the
burdens of the moment.
So what it amounts to is this:: Europe is being
asked to do less than was originally called for. And
it is in much better shape, both production-wise
and in rorale, to perform the economic and defense
tasks newly assigned to :. £
All this is bad news for the Soviet Union. Free
nations moving soundly and confidently toward
greater strength are the best assurance we can have
that' Russia will be deterred from its persistent
notions of conquest.
Medical School Aid
How to keep the nation’s 79 medical schools
going when prospects of further endowment grow
slimmer and slimmer and the cost of educating a
doctor rises to $7,000 more than he pays in tuition
is a serious problem, indeed. It is, of course, a phase
of the more widespread difficulties which beset the
privately endowed colleges and universities
throughout the country. President Dodds of Prince
ton recently pleaded that they be maintained as
“islands of independence without political account
ability,” so that education ~ould renvain unfettered
by dependence on federal subsidy.
Fortunately for the medical schools, there is
already established a Natioral Fund for Medical
Education, which last year made “preliminary
grants” of $1,600,000. And yet, if these. schools are
not to depend upon Federal subsidy and be under
bureaucratic control, they cannot depend upon the
ebb and flow of contributions by the public, but
must have assurance of dependable year-to-year
income. That is the objective of the Committee of
American Industry for this national fund, whose
chairman, Colby M. Chester, has mailed appeals to
17,000 corporations, seeking to enlist their support.
Says Mr, Chester
“Government intervention into this traditionally
private field could spell tne kiss of death for aca
demic freedonmr and would most assuredly add to
the alarming degree of Sccialism that is ours in
America today.”
S. Sloan Colt,, president of the fund, insisted that
without enough competent doctors—we need more
now than ever before—the geins of medical research
in recent years “will be minimized if not entirely
nullified.”
The 79 medical schools have been graduating
6,000 doctors a year and giving refresher courses
to 23,000 others to keep them abreast with recent
progress of medical science.
Back of this movement can clearly be seen the
fear that Federal subsidy to medical education
would be the entering wedge for socialized medi
cine like that in Great Britain,
It seems doubtful that the Army, within our
generation, will ever be less than three or four
times its pre-war size. — Secretary of the Army
Frank Pace,
Women’s matches and team wrestling have re
moved the real comrpetitive spirit. The girls are
nothing but a burlesque of men. — Ex-wrestler
fighter “Man Mountain” Dean.
We (Austria) have been recognized as victims of
aggression, imprisoned by Russia. We have been
promised our freedom, but are still behind bars.—
Austrian Chancellor Lieopold Figl
A man in a business suit looks like a mdllion of
his fellow-men. But with a shirt open to the third
or fourth button, he feels like a he-man, — Actor
Alan Ladd.
THE BANNER-HERALD, ATHENS, GEORGIA
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“NOSE"” KNOWS WHICH WAY IS UP—Jimmy Durante, right,
and upside;down expert Candy Candido have a topsy-turvy "con
versation as Durante and company arrive in New York, following
a four-week appearance at the Palladium, in London. Eddie Jack
son, Durante’s partner, center, tries to set Candido right-side-up
"% about something or other,” g
Boyle Predicts Japanese Women
Will Soon Begin Asserting Righis
By HAL BOYLE
NEW YORK-—(AP)— Papa-san
is taking it on the chin in Japan.
“Honorable father” is slowly
losing his age-old power over
Mama-san, or “honorable moth
er.” The theory of male domi
nance is setting in the land of the
rising run, just as it set in Ameri
ca a generation ago. ;
Soon the hand that rocks the
cradle will rule the roost in old
Nippon, just as it now does in
most of the Western world.
The twilight of Far Eastern
manhood was forecast in a recent
dispatch from -Futakawa village
on the Japanese island of Honshu.
The village elders, bowing toc
changing times, voted that women
were to have a holiday the 15th of
each month, on which day men
will wash, cook, and do all the
other household chores,
In a lame justification of this
retreat from traditional masculine
authority, the elders told the wo
men they were expected to use
their holidays to “elevate their
cultural standards.”
But if they really think Mama
san is going to spend her new
leisure studying flower arrange
ments—well, they just don’t know
Mama-san.
I will lay these village wise
men 3-to-1-oodds that before the
yvear is out Mama-san will be go
ing into politics, organizing soft
ball teams, and learning to play
canasta and blow smoke rings
through her nose.
The adds are heavy also that
- Mama-san will live up to an old
Western proverb holding that if
you give a woman an inch she
will take a mile.
“Why should we have a holiday
just once a month?” she will ask.
“et’s put one foot down, girls,
and get a holiday every week, plus
half a day off on Sunday.”
And before long Papa-san will
be doing the dishes and diapers in
dear old Futakawa, while Mama
san runs for public office to oust
the village elders who voted her
the first holiday.
But the step has been taken,
and there can be no turning back.
Japanese men lost the second
world war abroad. Now they are
losing the war at home, ‘“the
kimcena rebellion” by which wo
men are gaining what they euphe
mistically call “equal rights.”
| But the successful revolt of
Mama-san will give her new du
ties and insecurities. Many a wo~
man may later wonder in Japan,
as many do now in America,
whether her new freedom really
gives her more stature in terms of
DUE TO MALARIA 2
66 6 made with
.
Railroad Schedules
SEABOARD AIRLINE RY.
Arrival and Departure of Traims
Athens, Georgla
Leave for Elberton, Hamlet and
New York and East—
-3:30 p. m.—Air Conditioned.
8:48 p. m.—Air Conditioned.
Leave for Elberton, Hamlet and
East— |
12:15 a. m.—(Local).
Leave for Atlanta, South and
West—
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4:30 a, m.—(Local).
2:57 p. m.—Air Conditioned.
CENTRAL OF GEORGIA
RAILROAD
Arrives Athens (Daily, Except
Sunday) 12:35 p. m.
Leaves Athens (Ddg. Except
Sunday) 4:15 p. m.
GEORGIA RAILROAD
Mixed Trains.
Week Day Only
Train No, 51 Arrives 9:00 a m
Irala No. 50 Departs 7:00 p. m
human happiness.
The new Japanese constitution
gives Mama-san many new rights
and privileges. But this business
of letting Papa-san into the kit
chen, even for one day a month,
opens a whoie new world of West
ern woes, It means two bosses in
the home, trying to share respons
ibility for menus and child care.
“Is this the best you can do?”
Papa-san will grumble after every
meal. “I can cook better sukiyaki
than this with shoes on my
hands.” @
If T were a young Japanese
psychiatrist, I believe I’d hang up
my shingle in Futakawa. The Ma
ma - sans, weighted with the
strange new worries of leisure.
ought to be a gold mine.
A bombardment division of two
medium jet bombers wings cor
responds to an industry of 4,000
employees and a net worth of
about 120 million dollars.
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And remember—ice-cold Coke Y NG I - .
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BOTTLFD UNDER AUTKCRITY OF THE COCA-COLA COMPANY BY o
ATHENS COCA - COLA BOTTLING COMPANY
“Cc o™ is o registered trade-mark. © 1952, THE COCA-COLA COMPANY
Simple goitre is about seven
ltimelueommonhwomum{
men.
WEDNESDAY, JUNE 18, 1952
Goats have tails directeg |
ward while sheep tailg Point
downward,